Streamflow
Yields from 30 to 66 percent are expected in the basin during the forecast period. The following yields are based on the fifty percent chance probability runoff for the April through September forecast period. The Sweetwater near Alcova is forecast to yield about 22,000 acre-feet (30 percent of average). Deer Creek at Glenrock is expected to yield about 56 percent of average (22,000 acre-feet). LaPrele Creek above the reservoir is estimated to yield 64 percent of average (16,100 acre-feet). North Platte River below Guernsey Reservoir is expected to yield about 47 percent of normal (463,000 acre-feet), and below Glendo Reservoir is anticipated to yield about 48 percent of average (460,000 acre-feet). Laramie River near Woods should yield about 66 percent of average (89,000 acre-feet). The Little Laramie near Filmore should produce about 38,000 acre-feet (59 percent of average).
================================================================================================================================== LOWER NORTH PLATTE, SWEETWATER & LARAMIE RIVER BASINS Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== Sweetwater River nr Alcova APR-JUL 8.3 15.2 | 20 29 | 36 60 69 APR-SEP 8.9 16.3 | 22 30 | 39 63 74 | | Deer Creek at Glenrock APR-SEP 10.2 16.7 | 22 56 | 28 38 39 | | La Prele Creek ab La Prele Reservoir APR-SEP 4.0 9.9 | 16.1 64 | 25 42 25 | | North Platte River blw Glendo Reserv APR-JUL 182 338 | 445 48 | 552 708 925 APR-SEP 182 348 | 460 48 | 572 738 958 | | North Platte River blw Guernsey Resv APR-JUL 291 385 | 447 48 | 580 775 938 APR-SEP 305 404 | 463 47 | 601 803 985 | | Laramie River nr Woods APR-SEP 26 63 | 89 66 | 115 152 135 | | Little Laramie River nr Filmore APR-SEP 21 31 | 38 59 | 45 55 64 | | ================================================================================================================================== LOWER NORTH PLATTE, SWEETWATER & LARAMIE RIVER BASINS | LOWER NORTH PLATTE, SWEETWATER & LARAMIE RIVER BASINS Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of March | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - April 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= ALCOVA 184.3 156.4 156.8 162.0 | SWEETWATER 3 61 46 | GLENDO 506.4 395.9 463.6 420.3 | DEER & LaPRELE CREEKS 4 97 86 | GUERNSEY 45.6 18.6 18.6 21.6 | N PLATTE abv Laramie R. 26 85 75 | PATHFINDER 1016.5 770.9 994.9 619.0 | LARAMIE RIVER abv Laramie 9 82 76 | SEMINOE 1016.7 646.2 743.0 368.0 | LITTLE LARAMIE RIVER 4 91 66 | WHEATLAND #2 98.9 45.0 74.0 48.7 | LARAMIE RIVER above mouth 12 84 73 | NORTH PLATTE PROJ 1062.1 695.2 1065.2 676.0 | NORTH PLATTE 34 86 75 | KENDRICK PROJECT 1201.7 968.4 987.0 812.7 | | GLENDO PROJECT USERS 183.2 152.1 155.0 127.2 | | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period. (1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels. (2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.