Streamflow
The 50 percent chance April through September runoff is anticipated to
be below normal. The Boysen Reservoir inflow is forecast to yield
320,000 acre feet (40 percent of average); the Greybull River nr
Meeteese should yield 90,000 acre feet (45 percent of average); Shell
Creek near Shell should yield 42,000 acre feet (56 percent of average)
and the Bighorn River at Kane should yield 230,000 acre feet (21
percent of average).
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BIGHORN RIVER BASIN
Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 2001
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| <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> |
| |
Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== |
Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
BOYSEN RESERVOIR Inflow (2) APR-SEP 201 272 | 320 40 | 440 616 809
| |
GREYBULL RIVER nr Meeteetse APR-SEP 72 83 | 90 45 | 106 131 201
| |
SHELL CREEK nr Shell APR-SEP 36 40 | 42 56 | 46 53 75
| |
BIGHORN RIVER at Kane (2) APR-SEP 142 194 | 230 21 | 399 648 1124
| |
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BIGHORN RIVER BASIN | BIGHORN RIVER BASIN
Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of March | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - April 1, 2001
==================================================================================================================================
Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of
Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of =================
| Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average
========================================================================|=========================================================
BOYSEN 596.0 447.2 523.6 529.3 | NOWOOD RIVER 5 68 60
|
BIGHORN LAKE 1356.0 854.3 912.0 798.5 | GREYBULL RIVER 2 75 53
|
| SHELL CREEK 4 70 66
|
| BIGHORN (Boysen-Bighorn) 11 70 62
|
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* 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table.
The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period.
(1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels.
(2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.
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