Streamflow
The 50 percent chance April through September runoff is anticipated to
be below normal. The Boysen Reservoir inflow is forecast to yield
320,000 acre feet (40 percent of average); the Greybull River nr
Meeteese should yield 90,000 acre feet (45 percent of average); Shell
Creek near Shell should yield 42,000 acre feet (56 percent of average)
and the Bighorn River at Kane should yield 230,000 acre feet (21
percent of average).
================================================================================================================================== BIGHORN RIVER BASIN Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== BOYSEN RESERVOIR Inflow (2) APR-SEP 201 272 | 320 40 | 440 616 809 | | GREYBULL RIVER nr Meeteetse APR-SEP 72 83 | 90 45 | 106 131 201 | | SHELL CREEK nr Shell APR-SEP 36 40 | 42 56 | 46 53 75 | | BIGHORN RIVER at Kane (2) APR-SEP 142 194 | 230 21 | 399 648 1124 | | ================================================================================================================================== BIGHORN RIVER BASIN | BIGHORN RIVER BASIN Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of March | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - April 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= BOYSEN 596.0 447.2 523.6 529.3 | NOWOOD RIVER 5 68 60 | BIGHORN LAKE 1356.0 854.3 912.0 798.5 | GREYBULL RIVER 2 75 53 | | SHELL CREEK 4 70 66 | | BIGHORN (Boysen-Bighorn) 11 70 62 | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period. (1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels. (2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.