Upper Green River Basin (11)
February 2000

Snow
The Upper Green River Basin snow water equivalent (SWE), above Fontenelle Reservoir, is 81 percent of average (86 percent of last year). The Green River basin SWE above Warren Bridge is 77 percent of normal (83 percent of last year). SWE on the west side of the Upper Green River basin is about 83 percent of normal, 91 percent of this time last year. Newfork River SWE is now 78 percent of normal (75 percent of last year). Big Sandy-Eden Valley SWE is about 69 percent of average (69 percent of last year). For more information see the Basin Summary of Snow Courses at the beginning of this report.

Precipitation
The 11 reporting precipitation sites in the basin were 108 percent of the January average (128 percent of last year at this time). January precipitation varied from 84 to 204 percent of average. Water year-to-date precipitation is about 64 percent of average (76 percent of last year). Year to date percentage of average ranges from 43 to 75 for the reporting stations.

Reservoir
Data for Big Sandy Reservoir and Eden Reservoir were not reported this month. Fontenelle Reservoir is storing 167,600 acre-feet (85 percent of average and 49 percent of the total capacity). Flaming Gorge reservoir is currently storing 3,226,000 acre feet (86% percent of capacity). Detailed reservoir data is shown on the following page and on the reservoir storage summary at the beginning of this report.

Streamflow
The fifty-percent chance April through July runoff in the Upper Green River basin is forecast below average. Green River at Warren Bridge is expected to yield about 220,000 acre-feet (83 percent of normal). Pine Creek above Fremont Lake is expected to yield 95,000 acre-feet (91 percent of normal). New Fork River near Big Piney is expected to yield about 325,000 acre-feet (84 percent of normal). Fontenelle Reservoir Inflow is estimated to be 650,000 acre-feet (77 percent of average), and Big Sandy near Farson is expected to be about 45,000 acre-feet (79 percent of normal). 

==================================================================================================================================
                                                     UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN
                                               Streamflow Forecasts - February 1, 2000
==================================================================================================================================
                                              |  <<====== Drier ======  Future Conditions  =======  Wetter =====>>  |             
                                              |                                                                     |
  Forecast Point                     Forecast |  ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ======================  |
                                      Period  |    90%       70%    |  50% (Most Probable)  |      30%       10%    |  30-Yr Avg.
                                              | (1000AF)  (1000AF)  |   (1000AF)  (% AVG.)  |    (1000AF)  (1000AF) |    (1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Green River at Warren Bridge         APR-JUL       165       195    |      220        83    |       245       277            266
                                                                    |                       |
Pine Creek abv Fremont Lake          APR-JUL        74        88    |       95        91    |       102       116            104
                                                                    |                       |
New Fork River nr Big Piney          APR-JUL       181       275    |      325        84    |       375       470            385
                                                                    |                       |
Fontenelle Reservoir Inflow          APR-JUL       340       573    |      650        77    |       732       959            849
                                                                    |                       |
Big Sandy River nr Farson            APR-JUL        26        38    |       45        79    |        52        64             57
                                                                    |                       |
==================================================================================================================================
                         UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN                        |                 UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN
             Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of January               |        Watershed Snowpack Analysis - February 1, 2000
==================================================================================================================================
                                      Usable |  *** Usable Storage ***  |                            Number     This Year as % of
Reservoir                            Capacity|  This      Last          |   Watershed                  of       =================
                                             |  Year      Year     Avg  |                          Data Sites   Last Yr   Average
========================================================================|=========================================================
BIG SANDY                                       NO REPORT               |   GREEN above Warren Bridge   4        83        77
                                                                        |
EDEN                                            NO REPORT               |   UPPER GREEN (West Side)     7        91        83
                                                                        |
FLAMING GORGE                         3749.0   3226.0   3341.0      --- |   NEWFORK RIVER               3        75        78
                                                                        |
FONTENELLE                             344.8    167.6    180.9    196.2 |   BIG SANDY/EDEN VALLEY       2        69        69
                                                                        |
                                                                        |   GREEN above Fontenelle     14        86        81
                                                                        |
==================================================================================================================================
 * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table.

The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period.

(1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels.                  
(2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.
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