Precipitation.
Reservoir.
Streamflow
Black Hills water users should see below average runoff during the March
through July forecast period. The 50 percent chance runoff for Castle
Creek below Deerfield Dam is about 87 percent of average (3,650 acre feet).
The 50 percent chance runoff for Rapid Creek below Pactola Dam should be
16,500 acre feet (87 percent of average). Drainages relying on direct
diversion for their water supply could be experience irrigation water
shortages
================================================================================================================================== BELLE FOURCHE & CHEYENNE RIVER BASINS Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 1998 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== CASTLE CREEK blw Deerfield Dam (2) APR-JUL 2.42 3.15 | 3.65 87 | 4.15 4.88 4.20 | | RAPID CREEK blw Pactola Dam (2) APR-JUL 7.2 12.7 | 16.5 87 | 20 26 18.9 | | ================================================================================================================================== BELLE FOURCHE & CHEYENNE RIVER BASINS | BELLE FOURCHE & CHEYENNE RIVER BASINS Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of March | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - April 1, 1998 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= ANGOSTURA 122.1 120.3 120.7 110.1 | BELLE FOURCHE 7 71 92 | BELLE FOURCHE 178.4 179.3 172.1 130.9 | | DEERFIELD 15.2 15.3 14.6 13.5 | | KEYHOLE 193.8 183.1 181.9 107.6 | | PACTOLA 55.0 53.9 53.5 46.8 | | SHADEHILL 81.4 63.7 83.5 63.1 | | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period.