Wyoming Water Supply Outlook Report
February 2002

General
Generally, snow water equivalent (SWE) across the state is below normal for this time of the year. SWE averages for the State are about 71 percent of normal for this time of the year. Precipitation for January was generally below average for the State. Year-to-date precipitation is below average for the year. Reservoir levels vary from below average to average - average to above average in the northeast. Generally, forecast runoff is well below average. Forecast runoff varies from 8 to 90 percent of average. There may be some direct diversion irrigated areas that will be significantly short of water. In some cases, reservoirs may not fill with the spring runoff.

Snowpack
Less than average, and so some cases much less than average, snowfall has occurred this past month. SWE is generally below average for the entire State. SWE in the northwestern portion of the State is now at 79 percent of average (155 percent of last year). Northeast Wyoming SWE is currently about 67 percent of average (86 percent of last year). The southeast portion is currently about 60 percent of average SWE (78 percent of last year). And the southwest is about 76 percent of average (112 percent of last year).

Precipitation
January precipitation was below normal over the entire State. Some of the State had a very severe shortage of precipitation. The southwest portion of the State was near 50 percent below average for the month of January. The southeast was also near 50 percent, while the rest of the State received from 9 to 40 percent below average. The following table displays the major river basins and their departure from normal for this month.

BasinDeparture
from normal
BasinDeparture
from normal
Snake River -28%Upper North Platte River-48%
Yellowstone & Madison -10%Lower North Platte River-51%
Wind River -21%Little Snake River -52%
Bighorn -33%Upper Green River -40%
Shoshone & Clarks Fork -09%Lower Green River -48%
Powder & Tongue River -29%Upper Bear River -50%
Belle Fourche & Cheyenne-37%

Streams
Stream flow yield is expected to be below average across the State. Most probable yield for the State is forecast to be about 58 percent of average. The northwest part of the State is expected to yield about 67 percent of normal -- yield estimates vary from 45 to 90 percent of normal. Yield from the northeast portion of Wyoming will be below average (about 53 percent of average) -- yield estimates vary from 47 to 63 percent of average for the various forecast points. The southeast portion of the state will be about 40 percent of normal -- yield estimates range from 8 to 67 percent of normal. The southwest portion of Wyoming varies from 55 to 81 percent of average -- mean estimated yield for the forecast points in southwest Wyoming is about 70 percent of average.

Reservoirs

                             B A S I N    W I D E
                      R E S E R V O I R    S U M M A R Y

                        FOR THE END OF JANUARY  2002


     BASIN AREA     CURRENT AS LAST YR AS AVERAGE AS CURRENT AS CURRENT AS
      RESERVIOR     % CAPACITY % CAPACITY % CAPACITY  % AVERAGE  % LAST YR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALCOVA                     35         46         74         47         77
ANGOSTURA                  81         72         80        101        113
BELLE FOURCHE              76         81         57        133         94
BIG SANDY                  35         46         74         47         77
BIGHORN LAKE               35         46         74         47         77
BOYSEN                     35         46         74         47         77
BUFFALO BILL               35         46         74         47         77
BULL LAKE                  35         46         74         47         77
DEERFIELD                  98         99         84        116         99
EDEN                       35         46         74         47         77
ENNIS LAKE                 35         46         74         47         77
FLAMING GORGE              76         80         79         96         95
FONTENELLE                 35         46         74         47         77
GLENDO                     35         46         74         47         77
GRASSY LAKE                62         84         78         80         74
GUERNSEY                   35         46         74         47         77
HEBGEN LAKE                35         46         74         47         77
JACKSON LAKE               17         75         58         30         23
KEYHOLE                    80         82         53        151         97
PACTOLA                    96        100         83        115         96
PALISADES                  35         46         74         47         77
PATHFINDER                 35         46         74         47         77
PILOT BUTTE                35         46         74         47         77
SEMINOE                    79         78         63        124        101
SHADEHILL                  63         49         60        104        127
VIVA NAUGHTON RES          35         46         74         47         77
WHEATLAND #2               35         46         74         47         77
WOODRUFF NARROWS           35         46         74         47         77
GLENDO PROJECT USE         35         46         74         47         77
KENDRICK PROJECT           35         46         74         47         77
NORTH PLATTE PROJ          35         46         74         47         77

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