Precipitation
Precipitation for the month of February was 76 percent of average for the 2
reporting stations; this is 54 percent of the previous February. The year-
to-date precipitation, for the basin, is 66 percent of average; this is 87
percent of last year's amount.
Reservoir
Woodruff Narrows reservoir is currently storing about 8,000 acre feet.
Currently, the reservoir is storing about 16 percent of the volume stored
in February of last year. Current storage is about 14 percent of the
reservoir capacity.
Streamflow
The following 50 percent chance stream flow yields are for the April
through September period. Smiths Fork near Border is estimated to yield
72,000 acre-feet (61 percent of normal), and Thomas Fork drainage near the
Idaho-Wyoming state line is estimated to yield 12,000 acre-feet or 33
percent of normal. Bear River near the Utah-Wyoming State Line is expected
to yield about 91,000 acre feet (72 percent of average), The Bear River
near Woodruff is expected to yield about 103,000 acre-feet (about 67
percent of normal).
================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Streamflow Forecasts - March 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== SMITHS FK nr Border, WY APR-SEP 51 63 | 72 61 | 82 101 118 | | THOMAS FK nr WY-ID State Line (Disc. APR-SEP 7.0 9.7 | 12.0 33 | 14.9 21 36 | | Bear R nr UT-WY State Line APR-SEP 67 81 | 91 72 | 103 123 126 | | BEAR R nr Woodruff, UT APR-SEP 57 81 | 103 67 | 131 185 154 | | ================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN | UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of February | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - March 1, 2001 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= WOODRUFF NARROWS 57.3 8.0 50.0 --- | UPPER BEAR RIVER in Utah 7 81 73 | | SMITHS & THOMAS FORKS 4 74 64 | | BEAR RIVER abv ID line 9 78 67 | | NORTHWEST 77 65 56 | | NORTHEST 19 88 71 | | SOUTHEAST 37 88 80 | | SOUTHWEST 35 79 71 | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period. (1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels. (2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.