Shoshone and Clarks Fork River Basin (5)
February 2001

Snow
Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) is 46 percent of the February average (57 percent of last year) in the Shoshone River basin. The Clarks Fork River basin SWE is 49 percent of average (54 percent of last year). For more information see the Basin Summary of Snow Course Data at the beginning of this report.

Precipitation
Precipitation for the month of January was 12 percent of normal (10 percent of last year). Monthly percentages range from 3 to 52 percent of average. The basin year-to-date precipitation is now 67 percent of average (73 percent of last year). Year-to-date percentages range from 55 to 197 percent of average.

Reservoir
Current storage in Buffalo Bill Reservoir is 89 percent of average (82 percent of last year's storage) - the reservoir is about 57 percent of capacity. Currently, about 370,200 acre-feet are stored in the reservoir compared to 449,000 acre feet last year - normally the reservoir stores about 416,000 acre feet at this time of the year. Detailed reservoir data is shown on the following page and on the reservoir storage summary at the beginning of this report.

Streamflow
The fifty percent yield (April through September period) for North Fork Shoshone River at Wapiti is expected to be 325,000 acre-feet (63 percent of average). South Fork of the Shoshone River near Valley is estimated to yield of 130,000 acre-feet (48 percent of average), and South Fork above Buffalo Bill Reservoir is expected to be 95,000 acre-feet (42 percent of average). At the Buffalo Bill Reservoir, the fifty percent chance yield for the Shoshone River is expected to be about 470,000 acre-feet (59 percent of average). The fifty-percent chance yield for the Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone near Belfry, Montana is expected to be about 350,000 acre-feet (59 percent of average). 

==================================================================================================================================
                                               SHOSHONE & CLARKS FORK RIVER BASINS
                                               Streamflow Forecasts - February 1, 2001
==================================================================================================================================
                                              |  <<====== Drier ======  Future Conditions  =======  Wetter =====>>  |             
                                              |                                                                     |
  Forecast Point                     Forecast |  ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ======================  |
                                      Period  |    90%       70%    |  50% (Most Probable)  |      30%       10%    |  30-Yr Avg.
                                              | (1000AF)  (1000AF)  |   (1000AF)  (% AVG.)  |    (1000AF)  (1000AF) |    (1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
NF SHOSHONE RIVER at Wapiti          APR-SEP       270       302    |      325        63    |       361       415            520
                                                                    |                       |
SF SHOSHONE RIVER nr Valley          APR-SEP       102       118    |      130        48    |       152       185            269
                                                                    |                       |
SF SHOSHONE RIVER abv Buffalo Bill   APR-SEP        62        82    |       95        42    |       127       173            229
                                                                    |                       |
BUFFALO BILL DAM Inflow (2)          APR-SEP       354       426    |      470        59    |       548       663            804
                                                                    |                       |
CLARKS FORK RIVER nr Belfry          APR-SEP       289       325    |      350        59    |       390       450            590
                                                                    |                       |
==================================================================================================================================
                   SHOSHONE & CLARKS FORK RIVER BASINS                  |           SHOSHONE & CLARKS FORK RIVER BASINS
             Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of January               |        Watershed Snowpack Analysis - February 1, 2001
==================================================================================================================================
                                      Usable |  *** Usable Storage ***  |                            Number     This Year as % of
Reservoir                            Capacity|  This      Last          |   Watershed                  of       =================
                                             |  Year      Year     Avg  |                          Data Sites   Last Yr   Average
========================================================================|=========================================================
BUFFALO BILL                           646.6    370.2    449.0    416.0 |   SHOSHONE RIVER              7        57        46
                                                                        |
                                                                        |   CLARKS FORK in WY           7        54        49
                                                                        |
==================================================================================================================================
 * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table.

The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period.

(1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels.                  
(2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.
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