Precipitation
Reservoir
Streamflow
The 50 percent chance stream flow yields are expected to be below average in the
Bear River drainage. The Bear River near the Utah - Wyoming State Line is
expected to yield 107,000 acre feet; that is 85 percent of average. The Thomas
Fork drainage is estimated to yield 29,000 acre feet or 81 percent of normal
for the April-September period. The 50 percent chance yield for Smiths Fork
near Border is about 105,000 acre feet (89 percent of normal) for the April-September period. The Bear River near Woodruff is expected to yield 127,000
acre feet, about 85 percent of normal for the April-July period.
================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 1998 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== SMITHS FK nr Border, WY APR-SEP 75 89 | 100 85 | 113 134 118 | | THOMAS FK nr WY-ID State Line APR-SEP 16.8 22 | 27 75 | 33 44 36 | | Bear R nr UT-WY State Line APR-SEP 84 97 | 107 85 | 118 137 126 | | BEAR R nr Woodruff, UT APR-SEP 78 106 | 131 85 | 162 220 154 | | ================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN | UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of March | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - April 1, 1998 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= WOODRUFF NARROWS 57.3 46.0 57.3 --- | UPPER BEAR RIVER in Utah 5 72 85 | | SMITHS & THOMAS FORKS 4 66 90 | | BEAR RIVER abv ID line 9 67 89 | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period. (1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels. (2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.