Precipitation
Reservoir
Streamflow
The 50 percent chance April - September stream flow yields are
expected to be much above average in the Bear River drainage. The
Bear River at the Utah State Line is expected to yield 186,000 acre feet;
that is about 48 percent more than average. The Thomas Fork drainage
is estimated to yield 68,000 acre feet or 89 percent more than normal
for the April -- September period. The 50 percent chance yield for
Smiths Fork near Border is about 200,000 acre feet (69 percent more
than normal) for the April - September period. The Bear River near
Woodruff is expected to yield about 225,000 acre feet, about 51 percent
more than normal for the April-July period.
================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Streamflow Forecasts - March 1, 1997 ================================================================================================================================== | <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> | | | Forecast Point Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== | Period | 90% 70% | 50% (Most Probable) | 30% 10% | 30-Yr Avg. | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) (% AVG.) | (1000AF) (1000AF) | (1000AF) ====================================================================|=======================|===================================== SMITHS FORK nr Border, WY APR-SEP 164 185 | 200 170 | 215 236 118 | | THOMAS FK nr WY-ID State Line APR-SEP 37 53 | 68 189 | 87 124 36 | | BEAR R nr UT-WY State Line APR-SEP 135 163 | 186 148 | 212 257 126 | | BEAR R nr Woodruff (2) APR-JUL 119 182 | 225 151 | 268 331 149 | | ================================================================================================================================== UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN | UPPER BEAR RIVER BASIN Reservoir Storage (1000 AF) - End of February | Watershed Snowpack Analysis - March 1, 1997 ================================================================================================================================== Usable | *** Usable Storage *** | Number This Year as % of Reservoir Capacity| This Last | Watershed of ================= | Year Year Avg | Data Sites Last Yr Average ========================================================================|========================================================= WOODRUFF NARROWS 57.3 30.2 45.0 --- | UPPER BEAR RIVER in Utah 5 112 150 | | SMITHS & THOMAS FORKS 4 122 152 | | BEAR RIVER abv ID line 11 120 155 | ================================================================================================================================== * 90%, 70%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual flow will exceed the volumes in the table. The average is computed for the 1961-1990 base period. (1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels. (2) - The value is natural flow - actual flow may be affected by upstream water management.